2020 Primary Analysis: 32nd Congressional District

The 32nd Congressional District falls entirely within the boundaries of Los Angeles County. Grace Napolitano (D) is the incumbent and has held the seat since 2012.

This district shows the following party registration for the three largest political groups (the source is http://www.l2political.com):

Republican- 20.1%
Democrat- 47.2%
NPP- 20.1%

The primary in this race was strange in 2018. Grace Napolitano made it through filing with no opponent. However, two write in candidates emerged to run. Here are the 2018 primary results:

Grace Napolitano (D)- 99.9%
Ricardo De La Fuente (Write-In) (D)- 1 Vote
Joshua Scott (Write-In) (R)- 42 Votes

In spite of just receiving 42 votes, Joshua Scott advanced to the November election based on the jungle primary rules. Also, does anybody want to bet that the Ricardo De La Fuente was the person who voted for himself?

Joshua Scott actually filed to run for the office in 2020 and had a much better showing in the primary. Here are the results from the March 3 2020 election:

Emanuel Gonzales (D)- 12.3%
Meshal Kashifalghita (D)- 7.6%
Grace Napolitano (D)- 51.7%
Joshua Scott (R)- 28.4%

For this election, we saw 109,440 voters turnout and cast a ballot in this race. 71.6% of the vote went to a Democrat and 28.4% of the vote went to a Republican.

We will now see a November faceoff between Grace Napolitano (D) and Joshua Scott (R). Napolitano is the incumbent member of the US House of Representatives. Scott has worked for the Law Offices of Larry H. Parker and also has run for this office before.

This seat is not going to flip in this cycle. I predict that Grace Napolitano is going to win re-election.

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