2020 Primary Analysis: 33rd Congressional District

The 33rd Congressional District falls entirely within the boundaries of Los Angeles County. Ted Lieu (D) is the incumbent and has held the seat since 2014. He replaced Henry Waxman in this seat.

This district shows the following party registration for the three largest political groups (the source is http://www.l2political.com):

Republican- 22.7%
Democrat- 45.6%
NPP- 26.4%

Here are the 2018 primary results:

Ted Lieu (D)- 61.7%
Emory Rodgers (D)- 8.2%
Kenneth Weston Wright (R)- 30.1%

163,001 ballots were cast in this race. 69.9% of votes went to a Democrat and 30.1% of votes went to a Republican.

In spite of a crowded primary field for 2020, we still saw a Republican emerge to face Ted Lieu in November. Also, Kenneth Wright ran again; however, this time he ran as an NPP. Here are the results from the March 3 2020 election:

Liz Barris (D)- 6.7%
Albert Maxwell Goldberg (D)- 4.3%
Ted Lieu (D)- 60.0%
James Bradley (R)- 18.0%
Sara Sun Liew (R)- 6.5%
Kenneth Wright (NPP)- 4.5%

For this election, we saw 196,654 voters turnout and cast a ballot in this race. 71.0% of the vote went to a Democrat and 24.5% of the vote went to a Republican.

We will now see a November faceoff between Ted Lieu (D) and James Bradley (R). Lieu is the incumbent member of the US House of Representatives. Bradley is a US Coast Guard Veteran and does not hold office.

The registration gap is steep and resources are limited for November. I predict that Ted Lieu is going to win re-election.

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