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2020 Primary Analysis: 35th Congressional District

The 35th Congressional District falls within the boundaries of Los Angeles County and San Bernardino County. Norma Torres (D) is the incumbent and has held the seat since 2014. She replaced Gloria Negrete-McLeod who decided to run for San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors.

This district shows the following party registration for the three largest political groups (the source is http://www.l2political.com):

Republican- 18.9%
Democrat- 48.2%
NPP- 26.6%

This was more of a traditional race in the 2018 primary. We saw a Republican take on two Democrats. Here are the 2018 primary results:

Norma Torres (D)- 51.2%
Joe Baca (D)- 14.8%
Christian Leonel Valiente (R)- 34.0%

63,463 ballots were cast in this race. 66.0% of the vote went to a Democrat and 34.0% of the vote went to a Republican.

2020 saw a much better performance by Torres and since only two candidates were running, we got a preview of November. Here are the results from the March 3 2020 election:

Norma Torres (D)- 70.1%
Mike Cargile (R)- 29.9%

For this election, we saw 91,850 voters turnout and cast a ballot in this race. The numbers do not bode well for Republicans come November.

We will now see a November rematch between Norma Torres (D) and Mike Cargile (R). Torres is the incumbent member of the US House of Representatives. Cargile is an Army Veteran.

I cannot see the November numbers being wildly different from March. I predict that Norma Torres is going to win re-election.

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