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2020 Primary Analysis: 54th Assembly District

The 54th Assembly District falls entirely within the boundaries of Los Angeles County. Sydney Kamlager (D) is the incumbent in this race. Kamlager first won in a 2018 special election after the resignation of Sebastian Ridley-Thomas.

This district shows the following party registration for the three largest political groups (the source is http://www.l2political.com):

Republican- 8.6%
Democrat- 62.0%
NPP- 24.7%

In spite of five Democrats and just one Republican on the ballot in June 2018, the Republican still failed to advance. Here are the result for the June 2018 race:

Breon Dupree Hollie (D)- 1.6%
Tepring Michelle Piquado (D)- 15.4%
Sydney Kamlager (D)- 55.5%
Steve Dunwoody (D)- 8.5%
Lamar Lyons (D)- 6.5%
Glen Ratcliff (R)- 12.4%

Kamlager had an impressive showing in June by breaking 50% in a crowded field. Kamlanger increased his percentage in November and won by a margin of 62.3% to 37.7%.

In 2020 we saw another race with multiple Democrats and a lone Republican. The Republican still failed to advance to November. Here are the March 2020 results:

Clinton Brown (D)- 4.0%
Tracy Bernard Jones (D)- 29.8%
Sydney Kamlager (D)- 56.7%
Glen Ratcliff (R)- 9.5%

We will now see another inner-party matchup between Sydney Kamlager (D) and Tracy Bernard Jones (D). Kamlager is the elected incumbent and Jones recently volunteered for the Bernie Sanders campaign.

Kamlager is going to have the advantage of Name ID and resources, especially with Bernie Sanders not likely to be the Presidential nominee. I predict that Sydney Kamlager will win in November.

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